TOP Oss vs MVV Maastricht 4-1 Score & Prediction Review

Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

The match between TOP Oss and MVV Maastricht ended 4-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a TOP Oss win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: NAC Breda – MVV Maastricht prediction & betting tips (Oct 9, 2026).

TOP Oss vs MVV Maastricht — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eerste Divisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

TOP Oss to win

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,443 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,420 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,053 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,346 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 39%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,026 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

TOP Oss Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

TOP Oss 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,777 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

MVV Maastricht Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

MVV Maastricht 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,673 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

TOP Oss vs MVV Maastricht 4-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for TOP Oss vs MVV Maastricht. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
TOP OssTOP Oss4
MVV MaastrichtMVV Maastricht1

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS**

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

145%
X24%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%75%25%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
TOP Oss21%79%50%50%
MVV Maastricht33%67%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
TOP Oss74%26%88%12%
MVV Maastricht85%15%95%5%

1st Half

134%
X39%
227%

1st Score

152%
X5%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

2-2

16%

X-1

14%

X-X

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.6%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

7.6%

1-0

7.4%

2-2

6.9%

0-1

5.9%

2-0

5.7%

3-1

5.1%

0-0

4.6%

0-2

4.3%

3-2

3.9%

3-0

3.7%

1-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

TOP Oss vs MVV Maastricht — Recent Form

TOP Oss have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. MVV Maastricht have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.

Last 5 matches

TOP OssTOP Oss
W
L
W
L
L
MVV MaastrichtMVV Maastricht
L
W
L
L
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

TOP OssTOP Oss
5/5
MVV MaastrichtMVV Maastricht
3/5

Both Teams to Score

TOP OssTOP Oss
3/5
MVV MaastrichtMVV Maastricht
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

TOP OssTOP Oss
4/5
MVV MaastrichtMVV Maastricht
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

TOP OssTOP Oss
3/5
MVV MaastrichtMVV Maastricht
2/5

First Half Result

TOP OssTOP Oss
3/5
MVV MaastrichtMVV Maastricht
3/5

Correct Score

TOP OssTOP Oss
1/5
MVV MaastrichtMVV Maastricht
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction

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