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Jong AZ vs FC Den Bosch 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Jong AZ0–1
FC Den BoschOn these chances Jong AZ would usually take 1.5 points and FC Den Bosch 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Jong AZ.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Jong AZ vs FC Den Bosch stats: how the match was played
Eerste Divisie
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Jong AZ
FC Den Bosch
5
Shots on target
4
2
Big chances
1
10
Corners
7
1
Yellow cards
0
63%
Possession
38%
Jong AZ vs FC Den Bosch — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eerste Divisie
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Jong AZ to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 181 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.5% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Jong AZ ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,243 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Jong AZ 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
FC Den Bosch 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: FC Den Bosch 2+ goals.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Jong AZ vs FC Den Bosch 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Jong AZ vs FC Den Bosch. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Jong AZ0
FC Den Bosch1Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
Jong AZ0FC Den Bosch1Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 14% | 86% | 31% | 69% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 42% | 58% | 67% | 33% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 36% | 64% |
| 43% | 57% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61% | 39% | 79% | 21% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
38%
X-1
16%
2-2
12%
X-X
10%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-1
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-0
7.0%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
3-2
4.9%
0-1
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Jong AZ vs FC Den Bosch — Recent Form
Jong AZ have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. FC Den Bosch have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Jong AZFC Den BoschOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC Den BoschJong AZBoth Teams to Score
FC Den BoschJong AZOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FC Den BoschJong AZOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FC Den BoschJong AZFirst Half Result
FC Den BoschJong AZCorrect Score
FC Den BoschJong AZ