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FC Dordrecht vs FC Emmen 0-3 Score & Prediction Review
Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
FC Dordrecht0–3
FC EmmenOn these chances FC Dordrecht would usually take 1.4 points and FC Emmen 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Emmen.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →FC Dordrecht vs FC Emmen stats: how the match was played
Eerste Divisie
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
FC Dordrecht
FC Emmen
3
Shots on target
4
2
Big chances
1
3
Corners
3
3
Yellow cards
2
52%
Possession
48%
FC Dordrecht vs FC Emmen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eerste Divisie
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Dordrecht to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: FC Emmen to win.
Our track record
In 1,058 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.3% of the time (bookmakers said 65.4%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 941 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
FC Dordrecht 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
FC Emmen 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: FC Emmen 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Dordrecht vs FC Emmen 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Dordrecht vs FC Emmen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
FC Dordrecht0
FC Emmen3Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
FC Dordrecht0FC Emmen3Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 51% | 49% |
| 27% | 73% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 79% | 21% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
20%
X-1
15%
X-X
12%
X-2
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-0
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
2-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Dordrecht vs FC Emmen — Recent Form
FC Emmen have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. FC Dordrecht have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FC EmmenFC DordrechtOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC DordrechtFC EmmenBoth Teams to Score
FC DordrechtFC EmmenOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FC DordrechtFC EmmenOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FC DordrechtFC EmmenFirst Half Result
FC DordrechtFC EmmenCorrect Score
FC DordrechtFC Emmen