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FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Fair result

FC Eindhoven

1–2

Jong PSV

2.5Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances FC Eindhoven would usually take 1.8 points and Jong PSV 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Eindhoven.

FC Eindhoven −1.8 pts vs chancesJong PSV +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV stats: how the match was played

Eerste Divisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

FC Eindhoven

Jong PSV

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

48%

The match between FC Eindhoven and Jong PSV ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a FC Eindhoven win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Helmond Sport – FC Eindhoven prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eerste Divisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Eindhoven to win

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,100 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.3% of the time (bookmakers said 65.4%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 941 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

FC Eindhoven Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Eindhoven 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: FC Eindhoven 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,856 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Jong PSV Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jong PSV 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Jong PSV 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 844 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Eerste Divisie - Netherlands

FC Eindhoven1

Jong PSV2

Winner

1X 63%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

· FT

Eerste Divisie - Netherlands

FC Eindhoven1

Jong PSV2

Winner

1X 63%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

140%

X23%

237%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	15%	85%	34%	66%	47%	53%	73%	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	15%	85%	34%	66%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	47%	53%	73%	27%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	53%	47%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	26%	74%	54%	46%	79%	21%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	53%	47%
	26%	74%	54%	46%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	79%	21%	92%	8%

1st Half

132%

X40%

228%

1st Score

150%

X3%

247%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

20%

X-1

13%

X-X

13%

X-2

13%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.6%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

8.6%

2-2

7.2%

1-0

6.3%

0-1

5.4%

3-1

4.9%

2-0

4.8%

0-2

4.7%

1-3

4.5%

3-2

4.0%

2-3

3.9%

0-0

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV — Recent Form

Jong PSV have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. FC Eindhoven have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Jong PSV

FC Eindhoven

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

FC Eindhoven

2/5

Jong PSV

1/5

Both Teams to Score

FC Eindhoven

3/5

Jong PSV

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

FC Eindhoven

4/5

Jong PSV

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

FC Eindhoven

3/5

Jong PSV

3/5

First Half Result

FC Eindhoven

3/5

Jong PSV

2/5

Correct Score

FC Eindhoven

0/5

Jong PSV

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Helmond Sport – FC Eindhoven prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).