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FC Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
FC Den Bosch2–2
MVV MaastrichtOn these chances FC Den Bosch would usually take 1.7 points and MVV Maastricht 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Den Bosch.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →FC Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht stats: how the match was played
Eerste Divisie
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
FC Den Bosch
MVV Maastricht
5
Shots on target
5
2
Big chances
0
9
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
51%
Possession
49%
FC Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eerste Divisie
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Den Bosch to win
WrongOur track record
In 618 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.6% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,461 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 941 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).
Our model’s pick
FC Den Bosch ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
FC Den Bosch 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,675 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
MVV Maastricht 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
FC Den Bosch2
MVV Maastricht2Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
FC Den Bosch2MVV Maastricht2Winner
1 66%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 69% | 31% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12% | 88% | 35% | 65% |
| 48% | 52% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 40% | 78% | 22% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
43%
X-1
17%
X-X
10%
2-2
10%
X-2
6%
2-1
5%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.0%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
1-1
8.1%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
3.5%
0-0
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht — Recent Form
FC Den Bosch have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. MVV Maastricht have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FC Den BoschMVV MaastrichtOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC Den BoschMVV MaastrichtBoth Teams to Score
FC Den BoschMVV MaastrichtOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FC Den BoschMVV MaastrichtOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FC Den BoschMVV MaastrichtFirst Half Result
FC Den BoschMVV MaastrichtCorrect Score
FC Den BoschMVV Maastricht