Brick wall
4/10VVV-Venlo kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 19%).
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FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
VVV-Venlo are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+7points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. FC Dordrecht are the other way round, behind their chances: about −5 points.
Bookmakers: VVV-Venlo 38% to winFC Dordrecht 37%
FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo score prediction
Eerste Divisie
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.3 goals in total, in line with the Eerste Divisie average of 3.3.
goals expected
FC Dordrecht1.6VVV-Venlo1.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eerste Divisie
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
FC Dordrecht to win
Our model 40%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 1,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 65%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.3% of the time (bookmakers said 65.4%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 65%
Our track record
In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 941 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 34%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
FC Dordrecht Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
FC Dordrecht 0–1 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 1,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
VVV-Venlo Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
VVV-Venlo 0–1 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 844 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
FC Dordrecht–
VVV-Venlo–Winner
1X 62%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
FC Dordrecht–VVV-Venlo–Winner
1X 62%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
140%
X23%
238%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 53% | 47% |
| 26% | 74% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
132%
X34%
234%
1st Score
149%
X4%
248%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
24%
X-1
12%
X-X
11%
X-2
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
7.4%
1-0
6.2%
0-1
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo: the stats that stand out
Eerste Divisie
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%VVV-Venlo: brick wall and always on the scoresheet
4/10Always on the scoresheet
0/10VVV-Venlo scored in all of their last 10 (league 19% fail to score).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo: attack vs defence
Eerste Divisie
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Eerste Divisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- FC Dordrecht: weak attack, good defence (1.44 xG, 1.59 xGA a game)
- VVV-Venlo: good attack, weak defence (1.85 xG, 1.65 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo form and luck check
Eerste Divisie
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eerste Divisie gamesVVV-Venlo riding their luck, FC Dordrecht unlucky
- FC DordrechtBookmakers: 37% to win today.−4.8
- VVV-VenloBookmakers: 38% to win today.Clinical · +7 goals+6.8
Last 5 matches
VVV-VenloD
W
W
L
W
FC DordrechtW
L
D
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: FC Dordrecht 13th of 20 · VVV-Venlo 9th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Eerste Divisie
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eerste Divisie gamesBTTS = both teams scoredFC Dordrecht and VVV-Venlo games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Eerste Divisie average (65%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 65%
FC Dordrecht7 of 10
VVV-Venlo8 of 10
BTTSleague 65%
FC Dordrecht6 of 10
VVV-Venlo6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 381 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo corners, cards and goal times
Eerste Divisie
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameFC Dordrecht score early
FC Dordrecht
VVV-Venlo
4.7
Corners won · league 5.3
5.7
3.9
Corners conceded · league 5.3
5.1
2.6
Cards · league 1.7
1.6
1.7
Opponents' cards · league 1.7
2.7
58%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
44%
17%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
15%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
71%
35%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
21%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC Dordrecht1/5
VVV-Venlo3/5
Both Teams to Score
FC Dordrecht2/5
VVV-Venlo3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
FC Dordrecht3/5
VVV-Venlo4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
FC Dordrecht4/5
VVV-Venlo3/5
First Half Result
FC Dordrecht1/5
VVV-Venlo1/5
Correct Score
FC Dordrecht1/5
VVV-Venlo0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction