Always chasing
8/10Helmond Sport conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 48%).
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Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)
Riding their luck
FC Volendam are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: FC Volendam 40% to winHelmond Sport 36%
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam score prediction
Eerste Divisie
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.4 goals in total, a little over the Eerste Divisie average of 3.3.
goals expected
Helmond Sport1.6
FC Volendam1.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eerste Divisie
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
FC Volendam to win
Our model 39%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 2,086 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 62%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,093 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 2,414 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 41%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.3% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Helmond Sport Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Helmond Sport 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 3,489 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
FC Volendam Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
FC Volendam 0–1 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 661 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Helmond Sport–
FC Volendam–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Helmond Sport–FC Volendam–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
137%
X24%
239%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
| 26% | 74% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 81% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
130%
X41%
230%
1st Score
148%
X5%
247%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
22%
2-2
20%
X-1
13%
X-2
13%
X-X
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
4%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-0
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam: the stats that stand out
Eerste Divisie
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Helmond Sport: always chasing and leaky
8/10Leaky
0/10Helmond Sport kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 19%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam: attack vs defence
Eerste Divisie
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Eerste Divisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Helmond Sport: weak attack, weak defence (1.48 xG, 1.71 xGA a game)
- FC Volendam: good attack, weak defence (1.59 xG, 2.11 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam form and luck check
Eerste Divisie
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eerste Divisie gamesFC Volendam are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Helmond SportBookmakers: 36% to win today.Clinical · +5 goals−1.7
- FC VolendamBookmakers: 40% to win today.Clinical · +7 goals+4.4
Last 5 matches
FC VolendamL
W
D
W
L
Helmond SportW
L
L
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Helmond Sport 16th of 20 · FC Volendam 8th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Eerste Divisie
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eerste Divisie gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Helmond Sport and FC Volendam games more often than the Eerste Divisie average (65%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 65%
Helmond Sport8 of 10
FC Volendam6 of 10
BTTSleague 65%
Helmond Sport8 of 10
FC Volendam7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 372 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam corners, cards and goal times
Eerste Divisie
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.3
- Cards: league 1.7
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 25%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC Volendam3/5
Helmond Sport4/5
Both Teams to Score
FC Volendam3/5
Helmond Sport4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
FC Volendam2/5
Helmond Sport4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
FC Volendam3/5
Helmond Sport1/5
First Half Result
FC Volendam3/5
Helmond Sport1/5
Correct Score
FC Volendam0/5
Helmond Sport0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction