1. FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda

FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)

Unlucky

FC Dordrecht are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.

FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda score prediction

Eerste Divisie

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

3.2 goals in total, a little under the Eerste Divisie average of 3.3.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda will be played on Friday, November 6 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 14 of the Eerste Divisie, played in Netherlands. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

FC DordrechtFC Dordrecht–
NAC BredaNAC Breda–

Winner

2 51%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

127%
X23%
251%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
FC Dordrecht35%65%65%35%
NAC Breda19%81%46%54%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FC Dordrecht87%13%96%4%
NAC Breda72%28%89%11%

1st Half

125%
X36%
239%

1st Score

138%
X4%
257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

32%

1-1

16%

X-2

14%

X-X

12%

X-1

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-2

10.1%

1-1

9.6%

0-1

7.7%

0-2

6.9%

2-2

6.8%

2-1

6.8%

1-3

5.7%

1-0

5.4%

0-3

4.6%

2-3

4.4%

0-0

4.2%

2-0

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda: the stats that stand out

Eerste Divisie

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

NAC Breda: always on the scoresheet

Always on the scoresheet
NAC Breda0/10

NAC Breda scored in all of their last 10 (league 19% fail to score).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda: attack vs defence

Eerste Divisie

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Eerste Divisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • FC DordrechtFC Dordrecht: weak attack, good defence (1.44 xG, 1.59 xGA a game)
  • NAC BredaNAC Breda: good attack, good defence (1.88 xG, 1.15 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda form and luck check

Eerste Divisie

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eerste Divisie games

FC Dordrecht are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

  • FC Dordrecht
    FC Dordrecht
    −4.8
  • NAC Breda
    NAC Breda
    −2.3

Last 5 matches

NAC BredaNAC Breda
D
W
W
D
W
6th in table
FC DordrechtFC Dordrecht
W
L
D
W
L
18th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: FC Dordrecht 13th of 20 · NAC Breda 2nd of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Eerste Divisie

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eerste Divisie gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in NAC Breda games more often than the Eerste Divisie average (65%), in FC Dordrecht games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 65%
FC Dordrecht7 of 10
NAC Breda7 of 10
BTTSleague 65%
FC Dordrecht6 of 10
NAC Breda8 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 381 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

FC Dordrecht vs NAC Breda corners, cards and goal times

Eerste Divisie

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Both sides score early

FC Dordrecht

NAC Breda

4.7

Corners won · league 5.3

5.6

3.9

Corners conceded · league 5.3

3.7

2.6

Cards · league 1.7

2.0

1.7

Opponents' cards · league 1.7

2.5

58%

Goals before half-time · league 44%

57%

17%

Goals after 75' · league 25%

24%

50%

Conceded before half-time · league 44%

35%

35%

Conceded after 75' · league 25%

24%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

NAC BredaNAC Breda
3/5
FC DordrechtFC Dordrecht
1/5

Both Teams to Score

NAC BredaNAC Breda
3/5
FC DordrechtFC Dordrecht
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

NAC BredaNAC Breda
2/5
FC DordrechtFC Dordrecht
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

NAC BredaNAC Breda
3/5
FC DordrechtFC Dordrecht
4/5

First Half Result

NAC BredaNAC Breda
3/5
FC DordrechtFC Dordrecht
1/5

Correct Score

NAC BredaNAC Breda
0/5
FC DordrechtFC Dordrecht
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores