Brick wall
4/10Heracles Almelo kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 19%).
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FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 15)
Unlucky
FC Dordrecht are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo score prediction
Eerste Divisie
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Heracles Almelo expected to create clearly more
3.4 goals in total, a little over the Eerste Divisie average of 3.3.
goals expected
FC Dordrecht1.2Heracles Almelo2.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo will be played on Saturday, November 14 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 15 of the Eerste Divisie, played in Netherlands. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
FC Dordrecht–
Heracles Almelo–Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
FC Dordrecht–Heracles Almelo–Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Full Time
125%
X22%
253%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 71% | 29% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 64% | 66% | 34% |
| 17% | 83% | 42% | 58% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 68% | 32% | 85% | 15% |
1st Half
127%
X34%
239%
1st Score
141%
X4%
255%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
29%
1-1
18%
X-2
15%
X-1
10%
X-X
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
5%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
6.0%
1-0
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
0-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo: the stats that stand out
Eerste Divisie
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Heracles Almelo: brick wall, fast starters and banker as favourites
4/10Fast starters
7/10Heracles Almelo scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Banker as favourites
7/10Heracles Almelo won 7 of 10 as favourites (league 51%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo: attack vs defence
Eerste Divisie
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Eerste Divisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- FC Dordrecht: weak attack, good defence (1.37 xG, 1.37 xGA a game)
- Heracles Almelo: good attack, good defence (2.54 xG, 0.87 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo form and luck check
Eerste Divisie
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eerste Divisie gamesFC Dordrecht are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- FC Dordrecht−5.2
- Heracles Almelo−3.0
Last 5 matches
Heracles AlmeloW
W
D
W
W
FC DordrechtD
L
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: FC Dordrecht 13th of 20 · Heracles Almelo 1st of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Eerste Divisie
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eerste Divisie gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in FC Dordrecht and Heracles Almelo games less often than the Eerste Divisie average (65%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 65%
FC Dordrecht7 of 10
Heracles Almelo6 of 10
BTTSleague 65%
FC Dordrecht6 of 10
Heracles Almelo5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 379 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo corners, cards and goal times
Eerste Divisie
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.3
- Cards: league 1.7
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 25%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC Dordrecht0/5
Heracles Almelo4/5
Both Teams to Score
FC Dordrecht2/5
Heracles Almelo3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
FC Dordrecht3/5
Heracles Almelo3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
FC Dordrecht3/5
Heracles Almelo3/5
First Half Result
FC Dordrecht0/5
Heracles Almelo3/5
Correct Score
FC Dordrecht0/5
Heracles Almelo0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction