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Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok

Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Fair result

Wieczysta Kraków

1–3

Jagiellonia Białystok

2.3Chances (xG)3.1

On these chances Wieczysta Kraków would usually take 1.0 points and Jagiellonia Białystok 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Wieczysta Kraków.

Wieczysta Kraków −1.0 pts vs chancesJagiellonia Białystok +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Wieczysta Kraków

Jagiellonia Białystok

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Wieczysta Kraków and Jagiellonia Białystok ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Wieczysta Kraków win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Górnik Zabrze – Wieczysta Kraków prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wieczysta Kraków to win

Wrong

Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,630 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 419 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.4%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,180 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 292 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wieczysta Kraków ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 36%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,208 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.

Wieczysta Kraków Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wieczysta Kraków 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,823 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Jagiellonia Białystok Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jagiellonia Białystok 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ekstraklasa - Poland

Wieczysta Kraków1

Jagiellonia Białystok3

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

· FT

Ekstraklasa - Poland

Wieczysta Kraków1

Jagiellonia Białystok3

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

143%

X23%

234%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	15%	85%	33%	67%	45%	55%	72%	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	15%	85%	33%	67%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	45%	55%	72%	28%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	22%	78%	49%	51%	75%	25%	89%	11%
	28%	72%	56%	44%	80%	20%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	49%	51%
	28%	72%	56%	44%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	75%	25%	89%	11%
	80%	20%	92%	8%

1st Half

136%

X33%

231%

1st Score

152%

X4%

245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

21%

X-1

14%

X-X

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.1%

2-1

8.8%

1-2

7.9%

2-2

7.5%

1-0

6.5%

0-1

5.2%

3-1

5.1%

2-0

5.1%

1-3

4.2%

3-2

4.2%

2-3

4.0%

0-2

3.7%

0-0

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok — Recent Form

Jagiellonia Białystok have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Wieczysta Kraków have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Jagiellonia Białystok

Wieczysta Kraków

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Jagiellonia Białystok

2/5

Wieczysta Kraków

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Jagiellonia Białystok

3/5

Wieczysta Kraków

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Jagiellonia Białystok

2/5

Wieczysta Kraków

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Jagiellonia Białystok

2/5

Wieczysta Kraków

4/5

First Half Result

Jagiellonia Białystok

3/5

Wieczysta Kraków

0/5

Correct Score

Jagiellonia Białystok

0/5

Wieczysta Kraków

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Górnik Zabrze – Wieczysta Kraków prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).