1. Górnik Zabrze vs Śląsk Wrocław

Górnik Zabrze vs Śląsk Wrocław 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
Górnik ZabrzeGórnik Zabrze

2–1

Śląsk WrocławŚląsk Wrocław
1.4Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Górnik Zabrze would usually take 1.7 points and Śląsk Wrocław 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Górnik Zabrze.

Górnik Zabrze +1.3 pts vs chancesŚląsk Wrocław −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Górnik Zabrze vs Śląsk Wrocław stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Górnik Zabrze had more than twice the shots on target

Górnik Zabrze

Śląsk Wrocław

4

Shots on target

2

0

Big chances

2

8

Corners

6

2

Yellow cards

1

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Górnik Zabrze and Śląsk Wrocław ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Górnik Zabrze win with 44% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Widzew Lodz – Górnik Zabrze prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Górnik Zabrze vs Śląsk Wrocław — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Górnik Zabrze to win

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Górnik Zabrze Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Górnik Zabrze 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Górnik Zabrze 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Śląsk Wrocław Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Śląsk Wrocław 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Górnik Zabrze vs Śląsk Wrocław 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Górnik Zabrze vs Śląsk Wrocław. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Górnik ZabrzeGórnik Zabrze2
Śląsk WrocławŚląsk Wrocław1

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

144%
X26%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Górnik Zabrze23%77%53%47%
Śląsk Wrocław32%68%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Górnik Zabrze79%21%92%8%
Śląsk Wrocław86%14%95%5%

1st Half

134%
X39%
227%

1st Score

152%
X6%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

19%

X-1

16%

X-X

15%

X-2

9%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

2-1

9.4%

1-0

8.4%

1-2

7.4%

0-1

7.0%

2-0

6.8%

2-2

6.5%

0-0

5.8%

3-1

4.8%

0-2

4.5%

3-0

3.5%

3-2

3.4%

1-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Widzew Lodz – Górnik Zabrze prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores