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Jagiellonia Białystok vs Widzew Lodz 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Jagiellonia BiałystokJagiellonia Białystok

0–2

Widzew LodzWidzew Lodz
1.7Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Jagiellonia Białystok would usually take 1.5 points and Widzew Lodz 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Jagiellonia Białystok.

Jagiellonia Białystok −1.5 pts vs chancesWidzew Lodz +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Widzew Lodz stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Jagiellonia Białystok

Widzew Lodz

5

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

3

8

Corners

3

4

Yellow cards

3

60%

Possession

40%

The match between Jagiellonia Białystok and Widzew Lodz ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Jagiellonia Białystok win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zagłębie Lubin – Jagiellonia Białystok prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Widzew Lodz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jagiellonia Białystok to win

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Jagiellonia Białystok Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jagiellonia Białystok 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Widzew Lodz Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Widzew Lodz 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 74%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Widzew Lodz 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Widzew Lodz. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ekstraklasa - Poland
Jagiellonia BiałystokJagiellonia Białystok0
Widzew LodzWidzew Lodz2

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

144%
X29%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Jagiellonia Białystok27%73%61%39%
Widzew Lodz40%60%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Jagiellonia Białystok84%16%94%6%
Widzew Lodz91%9%98%2%

1st Half

134%
X45%
220%

1st Score

152%
X11%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

20%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

1-0

12.5%

0-0

10.8%

2-1

9.4%

0-1

8.2%

2-0

7.9%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

4.7%

0-2

4.0%

3-0

3.8%

3-1

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zagłębie Lubin – Jagiellonia Białystok prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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