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Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Pogoń Szczecin1–1
Wisła PłockOn these chances Pogoń Szczecin would usually take 1.2 points and Wisła Płock 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Pogoń Szczecin.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock stats: how the match was played
Ekstraklasa
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Wisła Płock had more than twice the shots on target
Pogoń Szczecin
Wisła Płock
4
Shots on target
8
1
Big chances
7
6
Corners
4
3
Yellow cards
3
58%
Possession
42%
Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Pogoń Szczecin to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Pogoń Szczecin 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Pogoń Szczecin 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Wisła Płock 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Pogoń Szczecin vs Wisła Płock. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Pogoń Szczecin1
Wisła Płock1Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Pogoń Szczecin1Wisła Płock1Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 56% | 44% |
| 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
X-1
16%
X-X
16%
2-2
16%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score