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Pogoń Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków

Pogoń Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Pogoń Szczecin

2–0

Wieczysta Kraków

2.4Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Pogoń Szczecin would usually take 2.0 points and Wieczysta Kraków 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Pogoń Szczecin.

Pogoń Szczecin +1.0 pts vs chancesWieczysta Kraków −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Pogoń Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Pogoń Szczecin had more than twice the shots on target

Pogoń Szczecin

Wieczysta Kraków

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Pogoń Szczecin and Wieczysta Kraków ended 2-0. Our AI model predicted an Wieczysta Kraków win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Śląsk Wrocław – Wieczysta Kraków prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Pogoń Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wieczysta Kraków to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Pogoń Szczecin to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Pogoń Szczecin Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pogoń Szczecin 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Pogoń Szczecin 2+ goals.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Wieczysta Kraków Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wieczysta Kraków 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Pogoń Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Pogoń Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ekstraklasa - Poland

Pogoń Szczecin2

Wieczysta Kraków0

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

Ekstraklasa - Poland

Pogoń Szczecin2

Wieczysta Kraków0

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

133%

X25%

242%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%	51%	49%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	59%	41%	83%	17%	94%	6%
	23%	77%	53%	48%	77%	23%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	59%	41%
	23%	77%	53%	48%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	83%	17%	94%	6%
	77%	23%	91%	9%

1st Half

131%

X40%

229%

1st Score

147%

X5%

248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

1-1

19%

X-X

14%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.9%

1-2

9.2%

2-1

8.2%

0-1

7.0%

2-2

7.0%

1-0

5.9%

0-2

5.3%

1-3

4.8%

0-0

4.6%

2-3

4.1%

2-0

4.1%

3-1

3.7%

0-3

3.3%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Śląsk Wrocław – Wieczysta Kraków prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).