Leaky
0/10Raków Częstochowa kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).
Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Unlucky
Raków Częstochowa are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−9points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Raków Częstochowa 35% to winWieczysta Kraków 40%
Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa score prediction
Ekstraklasa
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.2 goals expected
3.2 goals in total: more goals than a typical Ekstraklasa game (average 2.8).
goals expected
Wieczysta Kraków1.7Raków Częstochowa1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Wieczysta Kraków to win
Our model 51%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 2,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 64%Bookmakers 64%
Our track record
In 2,426 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 1,120 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 902 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Wieczysta Kraków ahead at half-time
Our model 41%Bookmakers 32%
Our track record
In 2,171 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Wieczysta Kraków Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Wieczysta Kraków 2+ goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 990 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 55–60%.
Raków Częstochowa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Raków Częstochowa 0–1 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 2,657 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Wieczysta Kraków–
Raków Częstochowa–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Wieczysta Kraków–Raków Częstochowa–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Full Time
151%
X22%
227%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 47% | 53% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 44% | 56% |
| 34% | 66% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 30% | 87% | 13% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
141%
X36%
223%
1st Score
158%
X4%
238%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
2-2
15%
X-1
14%
X-X
14%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
2-1
10.2%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa: the stats that stand out
Ekstraklasa
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Raków Częstochowa: leaky and flop as favourites · Wieczysta Kraków: always chasing
0/10Flop as favourites
1/6Raków Częstochowa won only 1 of 6 as favourites (league 44%).
Always chasing
6/9Wieczysta Kraków conceded first in 6 of their last 9 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa: attack vs defence
Ekstraklasa
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Wieczysta Kraków: weak attack, weak defence (1.59 xG, 1.71 xGA a game)
- Raków Częstochowa: weak attack, weak defence (1.59 xG, 2.25 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa form and luck check
Ekstraklasa
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa gamesRaków Częstochowa are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Wieczysta KrakówBookmakers: 40% to win today. · 9 of 10 games−3.3
- Raków CzęstochowaBookmakers: 35% to win today.−8.7
Last 5 matches
Wieczysta KrakówW
D
L
D
L
Raków CzęstochowaL
L
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Wieczysta Kraków 13th of 18 · Raków Częstochowa 11th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ekstraklasa
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scoredWieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Ekstraklasa average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Wieczysta Kraków6 of 9
Raków Częstochowa9 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Wieczysta Kraków6 of 9
Raków Częstochowa9 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 295 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa corners, cards and goal times
Ekstraklasa
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameWieczysta Kraków: last 9 with these statsGoal times close to the Ekstraklasa average
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa
4.9
Corners won · league 4.8
5.0
6.0
Corners conceded · league 4.8
4.8
2.1
Cards · league 2.0
2.1
1.2
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.8
29%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
38%
21%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
31%
29%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
36%
47%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
32%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Raków Częstochowa3/5
Wieczysta Kraków2/5
Both Teams to Score
Raków Częstochowa4/5
Wieczysta Kraków2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Raków Częstochowa4/5
Wieczysta Kraków2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Raków Częstochowa2/5
Wieczysta Kraków4/5
First Half Result
Raków Częstochowa2/5
Wieczysta Kraków4/5
Correct Score
Raków Częstochowa0/5
Wieczysta Kraków1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction