Banker as favourites
6/8Górnik Zabrze won 6 of 8 as favourites (league 44%).
Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Riding their luck
Górnik Zabrze are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+7points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Górnik Zabrze 58% to winPiast Gliwice 19%
Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice score prediction
Ekstraklasa
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Górnik Zabrze expected to create clearly more
2.7 goals in total, a little under the Ekstraklasa average of 2.8.
goals expected
Górnik Zabrze1.7
Piast Gliwice1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Górnik Zabrze to win
Our model 38%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 2,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Górnik Zabrze–
Piast Gliwice–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Górnik Zabrze–Piast Gliwice–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
138%
X24%
237%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
| 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
128%
X43%
229%
1st Score
148%
X5%
246%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
22%
1-1
20%
X-X
16%
X-1
13%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice: the stats that stand out
Ekstraklasa
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Górnik Zabrze: banker as favourites, always on the scoresheet and hard to break
6/8Always on the scoresheet
1/10Górnik Zabrze failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Hard to break
3/10Górnik Zabrze conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice: attack vs defence
Ekstraklasa
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Górnik Zabrze: good attack, good defence (1.61 xG, 1.11 xGA a game)
- Piast Gliwice: weak attack, weak defence (1.53 xG, 1.71 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice form and luck check
Ekstraklasa
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa gamesGórnik Zabrze are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Górnik ZabrzeBookmakers: 58% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals+7.4
- Piast GliwiceBookmakers: 19% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+0.6
Last 5 matches
Górnik ZabrzeW
D
W
W
W
Piast GliwiceW
L
W
W
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Górnik Zabrze 3rd of 18 · Piast Gliwice 9th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ekstraklasa
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scoredGórnik Zabrze and Piast Gliwice games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Ekstraklasa average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Górnik Zabrze7 of 10
Piast Gliwice6 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Górnik Zabrze7 of 10
Piast Gliwice5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 295 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice corners, cards and goal times
Ekstraklasa
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBoth sides score late
Górnik Zabrze
Piast Gliwice
5.2
Corners won · league 4.8
4.9
3.9
Corners conceded · league 4.8
6.5
2.6
Cards · league 2.0
1.5
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.2
32%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
35%
37%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
47%
33%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
29%
33%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
18%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Piast Gliwice3/5
Górnik Zabrze0/5
Both Teams to Score
Piast Gliwice2/5
Górnik Zabrze2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Piast Gliwice2/5
Górnik Zabrze5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Piast Gliwice5/5
Górnik Zabrze4/5
First Half Result
Piast Gliwice3/5
Górnik Zabrze3/5
Correct Score
Piast Gliwice0/5
Górnik Zabrze0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction