Banker as favourites
7/10Lech Poznań won 7 of 10 as favourites (league 44%).
Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Banker as favourites
Lech Poznań won 7 of 10 as favourites (league 44%).
7/10Wins as favourite · Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce score prediction
Ekstraklasa
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Lech Poznań expected to score more than twice as many as Korona Kielce
2.9 goals in total, a little over the Ekstraklasa average of 2.8.
goals expected
Lech Poznań2.0
Korona Kielce1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce will be played on Sunday, October 18 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 11 of the Ekstraklasa, played in Poland. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Lech Poznań–
Korona Kielce–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Lech Poznań–Korona Kielce–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
161%
X24%
215%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 38% | 62% |
| 46% | 54% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65% | 35% | 83% | 17% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
147%
X38%
215%
1st Score
166%
X5%
229%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
19%
X-X
14%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.2%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce: the stats that stand out
Ekstraklasa
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Lech Poznań: banker as favourites, hard to break and always on the scoresheet
7/10Hard to break
2/10Lech Poznań conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Lech Poznań failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce: attack vs defence
Ekstraklasa
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Lech Poznań: good attack, good defence (1.90 xG, 1.08 xGA a game)
- Korona Kielce: weak attack, good defence (1.45 xG, 1.38 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce form and luck check
Ekstraklasa
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Lech Poznań+2.7
- Korona Kielce+2.7
Last 5 matches
Lech PoznańW
W
L
W
W
Korona KielceW
L
W
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Lech Poznań 1st of 18 · Korona Kielce 10th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ekstraklasa
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scoredLech Poznań games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Ekstraklasa average (55%), Korona Kielce games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Lech Poznań8 of 10
Korona Kielce3 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Lech Poznań7 of 10
Korona Kielce7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 292 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce corners, cards and goal times
Ekstraklasa
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBoth sides score early
Lech Poznań
Korona Kielce
6.7
Corners won · league 4.9
4.2
4.5
Corners conceded · league 4.9
5.5
1.6
Cards · league 2.0
1.3
2.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.7
55%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
69%
18%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
8%
40%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
45%
30%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
45%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Lech Poznań4/5
Korona Kielce2/5
Both Teams to Score
Lech Poznań4/5
Korona Kielce3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Lech Poznań4/5
Korona Kielce4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Lech Poznań3/5
Korona Kielce4/5
First Half Result
Lech Poznań1/5
Korona Kielce0/5
Correct Score
Lech Poznań1/5
Korona Kielce1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction