Always on the scoresheet
0/10Molde scored in all of their last 10 (league 22% fail to score).
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Molde vs Fredrikstad Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 12)
Clinical
Molde are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+5goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 10
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Molde 69% to winFredrikstad 12%
Molde vs Fredrikstad score prediction
Eliteserien
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Molde expected to score more than twice as many as Fredrikstad
3.3 goals in total, in line with the Eliteserien average of 3.3.
goals expected
Molde2.3
Fredrikstad1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Molde vs Fredrikstad: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Molde vs Fredrikstad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eliteserien
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Molde to win
Our model 61%Bookmakers 69%
Our track record
In 1,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 63%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 2,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 1,170 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.3% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Molde ahead at half-time
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 1,256 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Molde Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Molde 2+ goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 3,490 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Fredrikstad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Fredrikstad 0–1 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 3,397 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Molde vs Fredrikstad — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Molde vs Fredrikstad. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Molde–
Fredrikstad–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Molde–Fredrikstad–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 56%
Full Time
161%
X20%
220%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 14% | 86% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 44% | 56% | 69% | 31% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14% | 86% | 37% | 63% |
| 44% | 56% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62% | 38% | 81% | 19% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
154%
X31%
216%
1st Score
171%
X3%
226%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
46%
X-1
16%
X-X
10%
2-2
9%
1-X
5%
X-2
5%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.5%
0-1
3.7%
0-0
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Molde vs Fredrikstad: the stats that stand out
Eliteserien
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Molde: always on the scoresheet and fast starters
0/10Fast starters
7/10Molde scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 49%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Molde vs Fredrikstad: attack vs defence
Eliteserien
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Eliteserien teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Molde: good attack, good defence (2.31 xG, 1.15 xGA a game)
- Fredrikstad: weak attack, good defence (1.23 xG, 1.46 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Molde vs Fredrikstad form and luck check
Eliteserien
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eliteserien gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- MoldeBookmakers: 69% to win today.Clinical · +5 goals−2.6
- FredrikstadBookmakers: 12% to win today.+3.8
Last 5 matches
MoldeW
D
L
W
W
FredrikstadL
D
D
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Molde 3rd of 16 · Fredrikstad 12th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Molde vs Fredrikstad: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Eliteserien
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eliteserien gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Molde and Fredrikstad games more often than the Eliteserien average (59%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Molde9 of 10
Fredrikstad4 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Molde9 of 10
Fredrikstad6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 228 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Molde vs Fredrikstad corners, cards and goal times
Eliteserien
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameFredrikstad score early
Molde
Fredrikstad
6.3
Corners won · league 5.4
4.1
4.2
Corners conceded · league 5.4
6.6
2.0
Cards · league 1.8
1.4
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 1.8
1.4
42%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
62%
29%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
8%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
54%
22%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Molde3/5
Fredrikstad2/5
Both Teams to Score
Molde4/5
Fredrikstad5/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Molde4/5
Fredrikstad2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Molde2/5
Fredrikstad4/5
First Half Result
Molde3/5
Fredrikstad3/5
Correct Score
Molde0/5
Fredrikstad3/5
correct predictionwrong prediction