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Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 13)

Fair result
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08

1–0

VikingViking
1.5Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Sarpsborg 08 would usually take 1.8 points and Viking 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Viking.

Sarpsborg 08 +1.2 pts vs chancesViking −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sarpsborg 08 had more than twice the shots on target

Sarpsborg 08

Viking

5

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

0

3

Corners

4

0

Yellow cards

2

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Sarpsborg 08 and Viking ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Viking win at 57% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarpsborg 08 – Rosenborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking to win

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Sarpsborg 08 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sarpsborg 08 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Viking Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eliteserien - Norway
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 081
VikingViking0

Winner

2 57%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

0-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

120%
X23%
257%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sarpsborg 0843%57%76%24%
Viking17%83%47%53%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sarpsborg 0893%7%98%2%
Viking73%27%89%11%

1st Half

122%
X37%
241%

1st Score

135%
X6%
259%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

35%

X-2

18%

X-X

13%

1-1

12%

X-1

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

11.2%

1-1

11.0%

1-2

10.0%

0-2

9.4%

1-3

6.1%

0-0

6.0%

1-0

5.8%

0-3

5.7%

2-1

5.5%

2-2

5.0%

2-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarpsborg 08 – Rosenborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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