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Molde vs Brann 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 14)

Fair result
MoldeMolde

1–2

BrannBrann
1.2Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Molde would usually take 1.7 points and Brann 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Molde.

Molde −1.7 pts vs chancesBrann +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Molde vs Brann stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Molde

Brann

2

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

1

6

Corners

4

4

Yellow cards

1

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Molde and Brann ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Molde win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lillestrøm – Brann prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Molde vs Brann — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Molde to win

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,477 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 936 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Molde ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Molde Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Molde 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,796 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Brann Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Brann 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Molde vs Brann 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Molde vs Brann. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eliteserien - Norway
MoldeMolde1
BrannBrann2

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

149%
X23%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT47%53%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Molde19%81%45%55%
Brann33%67%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Molde71%29%87%13%
Brann85%15%95%5%

1st Half

141%
X36%
223%

1st Score

159%
X4%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

15%

2-2

15%

X-X

13%

X-2

9%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.7%

2-1

9.5%

1-0

7.0%

1-2

6.9%

2-2

6.8%

2-0

6.2%

3-1

6.0%

0-1

4.8%

3-2

4.3%

3-0

4.0%

0-0

3.9%

0-2

3.4%

1-3

3.1%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lillestrøm – Brann prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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