1. Viking vs Sandefjord

Viking vs Sandefjord 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 14)

Fair result
VikingViking

2–1

SandefjordSandefjord
2.7Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Viking would usually take 2.5 points and Sandefjord 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Viking.

Viking +0.5 pts vs chancesSandefjord −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Viking vs Sandefjord stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Viking had more than twice the shots on target

Viking

Sandefjord

6

Shots on target

2

5

Big chances

0

6

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

3

45%

Possession

56%

The match between Viking and Sandefjord ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Viking win with 70% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Viking – Tromsø prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Viking vs Sandefjord — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking to win

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 612 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.8% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,692 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 1,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 179 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.5% than to our 50–55%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 1,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Viking Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,677 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Sandefjord Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sandefjord 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,580 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Viking vs Sandefjord 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Viking vs Sandefjord. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
VikingViking2
SandefjordSandefjord1

Winner

1 70%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 68%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 57%

Full Time

170%
X17%
213%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT14%86%32%68%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT43%57%67%33%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Viking10%91%30%70%
Sandefjord51%49%79%21%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Viking55%45%76%24%
Sandefjord93%7%98%2%

1st Half

154%
X29%
217%

1st Score

167%
X3%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

48%

X-1

17%

X-X

8%

2-2

7%

2-1

5%

1-X

4%

X-2

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-1

9.4%

2-0

8.9%

1-1

7.9%

3-0

7.7%

1-0

7.7%

3-1

7.7%

2-2

4.7%

3-2

4.3%

1-2

3.6%

0-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Viking – Tromsø prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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