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Kristiansund vs Start 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 15)

Fair result
KristiansundKristiansund

1–2

StartStart
0.5Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Kristiansund would usually take 0.5 points and Start 2.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Kristiansund.

Kristiansund −0.5 pts vs chancesStart +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kristiansund vs Start stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Start had more than twice the shots on target

Kristiansund

Start

1

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

2

3

Corners

6

4

Yellow cards

2

1

Red cards

0

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Kristiansund and Start ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Kristiansund win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Molde – Start prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Kristiansund vs Start — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kristiansund to win

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Kristiansund Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kristiansund 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Start Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Start 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 73%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kristiansund vs Start 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kristiansund vs Start. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eliteserien - Norway
KristiansundKristiansund1
StartStart2

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

150%
X25%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Kristiansund22%78%54%46%
Start41%59%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Kristiansund79%21%92%8%
Start91%9%97%3%

1st Half

136%
X41%
223%

1st Score

156%
X7%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

16%

X-X

15%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

11.7%

1-1

11.4%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

8.6%

0-0

7.4%

0-1

6.7%

1-2

6.5%

2-2

5.0%

3-0

4.9%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Molde – Start prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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