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Vålerenga vs HamKam 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 16)

Fair result
VålerengaVålerenga

0–3

HamKamHamKam
1.3Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Vålerenga would usually take 1.1 points and HamKam 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Vålerenga.

Vålerenga −1.1 pts vs chancesHamKam +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Vålerenga vs HamKam stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

HamKam had clearly more shots on target

Vålerenga

HamKam

5

Shots on target

7

0

Big chances

3

3

Corners

3

3

Yellow cards

1

1

Red cards

0

37%

Possession

63%

The match between Vålerenga and HamKam ended 0-3. Our AI model predicted a Vålerenga win at 60% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Vålerenga – Brann prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Vålerenga vs HamKam — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vålerenga to win

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vålerenga ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Vålerenga Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vålerenga 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

HamKam Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

HamKam 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 78%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Vålerenga vs HamKam 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vålerenga vs HamKam. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eliteserien - Norway
VålerengaVålerenga0
HamKamHamKam3

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

160%
X22%
218%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Vålerenga16%84%42%58%
HamKam47%53%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Vålerenga68%32%85%15%
HamKam93%7%98%2%

1st Half

147%
X35%
218%

1st Score

162%
X6%
232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

39%

X-1

17%

X-X

12%

2-2

10%

X-2

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

10.8%

1-1

9.7%

2-0

9.4%

2-1

9.2%

3-1

6.4%

3-0

6.3%

0-0

6.0%

2-2

5.2%

0-1

4.9%

1-2

4.4%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Vålerenga – Brann prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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