Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 3-3 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 16)

The match between Molde and Sarpsborg 08 ended 3-3. Our AI model predicted a Molde win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Vålerenga – Molde prediction & betting tips (Aug 29, 2026).

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 — Eliteserien Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 16 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

44.5% implied

Molde58.8%10/17+32.1%Strongly above implied probability
Sarpsborg 0852.9%9/17+18.9%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Molde76.5%13/17+40.6%Strongly above implied probability
Sarpsborg 0858.8%10/17+8.1%Above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.1% implied

Molde58.8%10/17+8.7%Above implied probability
Sarpsborg 0858.8%10/17+8.7%Above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

61.1% implied

Molde58.8%10/17-3.8%Near implied probability
Sarpsborg 0882.4%14/17+34.9%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

38.6% implied

Molde47.1%8/17+22%Strongly above implied probability
Sarpsborg 0847.1%8/17+22%Strongly above implied probability
Molde17.6%3/17
Sarpsborg 0817.6%3/17

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Molde and Sarpsborg 08 across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Both Teams To Score predictions for Molde hit at 77% accuracy — that's 40.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Molde sit 3.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 3-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Molde vs Sarpsborg 08. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
MoldeMolde3
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 083

Winner

1 52%

BTTS**

Yes 66%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 68%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 57%

Full Time

152%
X22%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT14%86%32%68%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT43%57%69%31%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Molde17%83%42%58%
Sarpsborg 0835%65%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Molde67%33%84%16%
Sarpsborg 0885%15%94%6%

1st Half

142%
X36%
222%

1st Score

160%
X3%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

17%

X-X

13%

2-2

13%

X-2

8%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

2-1

9.1%

1-1

8.9%

2-2

6.7%

1-0

6.5%

1-2

6.4%

2-0

6.3%

3-1

6.3%

3-2

4.7%

3-0

4.3%

0-1

4.2%

0-0

3.3%

2-3

3.2%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 — Prediction Form & Streaks

Molde have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Sarpsborg 08 have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Molde well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
MoldeMolde
1 in a row
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
MoldeMolde
5 in a row
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
3 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
MoldeMolde
3 in a row
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
4 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
MoldeMolde
0 in a row
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
2 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
MoldeMolde
0 in a row
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
2 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
MoldeMolde
0 in a row
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
0 in a row

Molde & Sarpsborg 08 Teams in Best Form

MoldeMolde
W
L
D
W
L
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08
L
L
D
W
D
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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