2. Leagues
  3. Eliteserien
  4. Lillestrøm vs Rosenborg

Lillestrøm vs Rosenborg 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 17)

Fair result
LillestrømLillestrøm

0–2

RosenborgRosenborg
2.1Chances (xG)2.1

On these chances Lillestrøm would usually take 1.4 points and Rosenborg 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Lillestrøm.

Lillestrøm −1.4 pts vs chancesRosenborg +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Lillestrøm vs Rosenborg stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Rosenborg had more than twice the shots on target

Lillestrøm

Rosenborg

4

Shots on target

8

6

Big chances

5

8

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

6

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Lillestrøm and Rosenborg ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Lillestrøm win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarpsborg 08 – Rosenborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Lillestrøm vs Rosenborg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lillestrøm to win

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lillestrøm ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Lillestrøm Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lillestrøm 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Lillestrøm 0–1 goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Rosenborg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rosenborg 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lillestrøm vs Rosenborg 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lillestrøm vs Rosenborg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eliteserien - Norway
LillestrømLillestrøm0
RosenborgRosenborg2

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

150%
X22%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT47%53%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Lillestrøm19%81%45%55%
Rosenborg34%66%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Lillestrøm71%29%87%13%
Rosenborg85%16%94%6%

1st Half

141%
X38%
221%

1st Score

161%
X4%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.5%

2-1

9.4%

1-0

6.9%

1-2

6.9%

2-2

6.5%

2-0

6.5%

3-1

5.9%

0-1

4.8%

3-2

4.3%

3-0

4.3%

0-0

3.7%

0-2

3.5%

1-3

3.2%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarpsborg 08 – Rosenborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores