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Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 18)

Fair result
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 08

1–2

SandefjordSandefjord
2.0Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Sarpsborg 08 would usually take 1.4 points and Sandefjord 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Sarpsborg 08.

Sarpsborg 08 −1.4 pts vs chancesSandefjord +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sandefjord had clearly more shots on target

Sarpsborg 08

Sandefjord

6

Shots on target

9

3

Big chances

2

4

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

4

55%

Possession

46%

The match between Sarpsborg 08 and Sandefjord ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Sarpsborg 08 win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarpsborg 08 – Rosenborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sarpsborg 08 to win

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,492 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,719 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 5,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sarpsborg 08 ahead at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,231 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Sarpsborg 08 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sarpsborg 08 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,822 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Sandefjord Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sandefjord 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,276 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eliteserien - Norway
Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg 081
SandefjordSandefjord2

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

150%
X22%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sarpsborg 0819%81%48%52%
Sandefjord35%65%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sarpsborg 0874%26%89%11%
Sandefjord87%13%96%4%

1st Half

134%
X39%
227%

1st Score

156%
X5%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-X

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

9.0%

1-2

7.1%

2-0

7.0%

2-2

6.1%

3-1

5.7%

0-1

5.4%

0-0

4.5%

3-0

4.5%

0-2

3.8%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarpsborg 08 – Rosenborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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