Lillestrøm vs Fredrikstad 1-4 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 19)

The match between Lillestrøm and Fredrikstad ended 1-4. Our AI model predicted a Lillestrøm win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fredrikstad – Tromsø prediction & betting tips (Oct 11, 2026).

Lillestrøm vs Fredrikstad — Eliteserien Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 19 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

43.2% implied

Fredrikstad57.1%12/21+32.2%Strongly above implied probability
Lillestrøm47.6%10/21+10.2%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Fredrikstad61.9%13/21+13.8%Strongly above implied probability
Lillestrøm42.9%9/21-21.1%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53.8% implied

Fredrikstad38.1%8/21-29.2%Below implied probability
Lillestrøm52.4%11/21-2.6%Near implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

59.3% implied

Fredrikstad71.4%15/21+20.4%Strongly above implied probability
Lillestrøm76.2%16/21+28.5%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

37.6% implied

Fredrikstad52.4%11/21+39.4%Strongly above implied probability
Lillestrøm52.4%11/21+39.4%Strongly above implied probability
Fredrikstad14.3%3/21
Lillestrøm4.8%1/21

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Lillestrøm and Fredrikstad across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Fredrikstad hit at 52% accuracy — that's 39.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Fredrikstad sit 29.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Lillestrøm vs Fredrikstad 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lillestrøm vs Fredrikstad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
LillestrømLillestrøm1
FredrikstadFredrikstad4

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS**

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

Full Time

150%
X22%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%34%66%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT46%54%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Lillestrøm19%81%45%55%
Fredrikstad34%66%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Lillestrøm71%29%87%13%
Fredrikstad84%16%94%6%

1st Half

140%
X36%
223%

1st Score

157%
X4%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

17%

2-2

14%

X-X

12%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.4%

2-1

9.2%

1-0

6.8%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

6.4%

2-0

6.3%

3-1

5.8%

0-1

4.7%

3-0

4.2%

3-2

4.1%

0-0

3.6%

0-2

3.5%

1-3

3.4%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Lillestrøm vs Fredrikstad — Prediction Form & Streaks

Fredrikstad have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Lillestrøm have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Fredrikstad well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
FredrikstadFredrikstad
0 in a row
LillestrømLillestrøm
2 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
FredrikstadFredrikstad
4 in a row
LillestrømLillestrøm
0 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
FredrikstadFredrikstad
0 in a row
LillestrømLillestrøm
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
FredrikstadFredrikstad
3 in a row
LillestrømLillestrøm
3 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
FredrikstadFredrikstad
3 in a row
LillestrømLillestrøm
1 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
FredrikstadFredrikstad
2 in a row
LillestrømLillestrøm
0 in a row

Lillestrøm & Fredrikstad Teams in Best Form

FredrikstadFredrikstad
D
D
L
W
W
LillestrømLillestrøm
L
W
W
L
D
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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