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Rosenborg vs Tromsø 5-3 Score & Prediction Review
Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 21)
Rosenborg5–3
TromsøOn these chances Rosenborg would usually take 1.3 points and Tromsø 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Rosenborg.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Rosenborg vs Tromsø stats: how the match was played
Eliteserien
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Rosenborg
Tromsø
10
Shots on target
9
2
Big chances
1
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
3
54%
Possession
46%
Rosenborg vs Tromsø — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eliteserien
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Rosenborg to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Rosenborg ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Rosenborg 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Tromsø 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Rosenborg vs Tromsø 5-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rosenborg vs Tromsø. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Rosenborg5
Tromsø3Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Rosenborg5Tromsø3Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 85% | 41% | 59% |
| 41% | 59% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66% | 34% | 84% | 16% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
17%
X-X
14%
2-2
11%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score