1. Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord

Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 21)

Fair result
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt

3–2

SandefjordSandefjord
3.2Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Bodø / Glimt would usually take 2.4 points and Sandefjord 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Bodø / Glimt.

Bodø / Glimt +0.6 pts vs chancesSandefjord −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Bodø / Glimt had more than twice the shots on target

Bodø / Glimt

Sandefjord

10

Shots on target

4

6

Big chances

3

10

Corners

2

0

Yellow cards

3

65%

Possession

35%

The match between Bodø / Glimt and Sandefjord ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Bodø / Glimt win with 77% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sandefjord – Lillestrøm prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bodø / Glimt to win

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 146 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.2% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bodø / Glimt ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 112 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.6% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Bodø / Glimt Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bodø / Glimt 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Sandefjord Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sandefjord 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 82%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bodø / Glimt vs Sandefjord. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt3
SandefjordSandefjord2

Winner

1 77%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

3-0 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 77%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 69%

Full Time

177%
X13%
210%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT9%91%23%77%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT31%69%53%47%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bodø / Glimt6%94%21%79%
Sandefjord60%40%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bodø / Glimt41%59%62%38%
Sandefjord94%6%98%2%

1st Half

160%
X26%
214%

1st Score

171%
X2%
227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

56%

X-1

18%

X-X

6%

2-1

5%

2-2

5%

2-X

4%

1-X

3%

X-2

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

3-0

7.5%

2-0

7.4%

2-1

7.4%

3-1

7.2%

1-0

5.7%

1-1

5.2%

3-2

4.3%

2-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sandefjord – Lillestrøm prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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