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Rosenborg vs Sandefjord

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 23)

Robbed

Rosenborg drew despite more chances

Rosenborg

1–1

Sandefjord

3.1Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Rosenborg would usually take 2.6 points and Sandefjord 0.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Rosenborg.

Rosenborg −1.6 pts vs chancesSandefjord +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Rosenborg had more than twice the shots on target

Rosenborg

Sandefjord

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Rosenborg and Sandefjord ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Rosenborg win at 61% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fredrikstad – Rosenborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rosenborg to win

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,066 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 947 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rosenborg ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,633 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Rosenborg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rosenborg 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Sandefjord Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sandefjord 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,368 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rosenborg vs Sandefjord. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Eliteserien - Norway

Rosenborg1

Sandefjord1

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

· FT

Eliteserien - Norway

Rosenborg1

Sandefjord1

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

Full Time

161%

X20%

219%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	15%	85%	33%	67%	46%	54%	70%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	15%	85%	33%	67%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	46%	54%	70%	30%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	13%	87%	37%	63%	63%	37%	82%	18%
	42%	58%	72%	28%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	37%	63%
	42%	58%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	63%	37%	82%	18%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

142%

X38%

220%

1st Score

160%

X4%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

20%

X-X

11%

2-2

11%

X-2

2-X

1-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.3%

1-1

8.6%

2-0

7.8%

1-0

7.5%

3-1

6.8%

3-0

5.9%

2-2

5.8%

1-2

5.2%

3-2

4.8%

0-0

3.6%

0-1

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord — Recent Form

Rosenborg have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Sandefjord have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Rosenborg

Sandefjord

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sandefjord

3/5

Rosenborg

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Sandefjord

2/5

Rosenborg

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sandefjord

2/5

Rosenborg

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sandefjord

5/5

Rosenborg

3/5

First Half Result

Sandefjord

4/5

Rosenborg

3/5

Correct Score

Sandefjord

0/5

Rosenborg

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fredrikstad – Rosenborg prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).