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Petrovac vs Žalgiris 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Petrovac vs Žalgiris stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Žalgiris had more than twice the shots on target
Petrovac
Žalgiris
2
Shots on target
4
3
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
1
Petrovac vs Žalgiris — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Žalgiris to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Petrovac 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Žalgiris 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Petrovac vs Žalgiris 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Petrovac vs Žalgiris. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Petrovac1
Žalgiris3Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Petrovac1Žalgiris3Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 37% | 63% | 70% | 30% |
 | 27% | 73% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
30%
X-2
18%
X-X
17%
1-1
12%
X-1
10%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score