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Hamrun Spartans vs NSÍ 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Hamrun Spartans vs NSÍ stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Hamrun Spartans
NSÍ
6
Corners
7
5
Yellow cards
1
Hamrun Spartans vs NSÍ — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Hamrun Spartans to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Hamrun Spartans ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Hamrun Spartans 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
NSÍ 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Hamrun Spartans vs NSÍ 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hamrun Spartans vs NSÍ. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Hamrun Spartans1
NSÍ2Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Hamrun Spartans1NSÍ2Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22% | 78% | 49% | 51% |
 | 34% | 66% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 88% | 12% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
2-2
19%
X-1
16%
X-X
12%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score