Vestri vs Rīgas FS 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 2nd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Vestri vs Rīgas FS stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Vestri

Rīgas FS

Corners

Yellow cards

The match between Vestri and Rīgas FS ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Rīgas FS win at 64% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Vestri vs Rīgas FS — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rīgas FS to win

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,066 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,718 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 295 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 289 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rīgas FS ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 108 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 63.5%).

Vestri Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vestri 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Rīgas FS Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rīgas FS 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Vestri vs Rīgas FS 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vestri vs Rīgas FS. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Europa Conference League - Europe

Vestri1

Rīgas FS1

Winner

2 64%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

0-2 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 71%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 60%

· FT

Europa Conference League - Europe

Vestri1

Rīgas FS1

Winner

2 64%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

0-2 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 71%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 60%

Full Time

121%

X15%

264%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	12%	88%	29%	71%	41%	60%	64%	36%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	12%	88%	29%	71%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	41%	60%	64%	36%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	48%	52%	72%	28%	87%	13%	95%	5%
	15%	86%	34%	66%	57%	43%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	48%	52%	72%	28%
	15%	86%	34%	66%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	13%	95%	5%
	57%	43%	76%	24%

1st Half

110%

X27%

263%

1st Score

118%

X3%

279%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

60%

X-2

18%

X-X

1-1

1-2

X-1

1-X

2-X

2-1

Correct Score

0-2

8.2%

1-2

8.2%

0-3

7.1%

1-3

6.6%

0-1

6.4%

1-1

6.3%

2-1

4.6%

2-2

4.5%

2-3

3.7%

1-0

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score