1. Debrecen vs FC København

Debrecen vs FC Copenhagen 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Fair result
DebrecenDebrecen

0–3

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
1.0Chances (xG)2.2

On these chances Debrecen would usually take 0.7 points and FC Copenhagen 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Copenhagen.

Debrecen −0.7 pts vs chancesFC Copenhagen +0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Debrecen vs FC Copenhagen stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

FC Copenhagen had more than twice the shots on target

Debrecen

FC Copenhagen

2

Shots on target

10

0

Big chances

5

7

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

1

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Debrecen and FC Copenhagen ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an FC Copenhagen win with 43% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crvena Zvezda – FC Copenhagen prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Debrecen vs FC Copenhagen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Copenhagen to win

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,111 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Copenhagen ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 39%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,037 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Debrecen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Debrecen 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

FC Copenhagen Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Copenhagen 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: FC Copenhagen 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 847 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Debrecen vs FC Copenhagen 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Debrecen vs FC Copenhagen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
DebrecenDebrecen0
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen3

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

133%
X23%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Debrecen31%69%61%39%
FC Copenhagen24%76%52%48%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Debrecen83%17%94%6%
FC Copenhagen76%24%90%10%

1st Half

123%
X38%
239%

1st Score

137%
X5%
258%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

30%

1-1

16%

X-2

15%

X-X

13%

X-1

10%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

7.7%

0-1

7.1%

2-2

6.2%

1-0

6.1%

0-2

6.0%

1-3

5.0%

0-0

4.8%

2-0

4.5%

3-1

3.9%

0-3

3.6%

2-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crvena Zvezda – FC Copenhagen prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

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