- Home
- CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Panathinaikos created clearly more chances
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Panathinaikos
1.5
Chances (xG)
2.5
5
Shots on target
11
2
Big chances
4
3
Corners
6
2
Yellow cards
2
49%
Possession
51%
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Panathinaikos to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Panathinaikos 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Panathinaikos 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
CSKA 1948 Sofia1
Panathinaikos2Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
CSKA 1948 Sofia1Panathinaikos2Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 38% | 62% | 72% | 28% |
 | 28% | 72% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
28%
X-X
17%
X-2
16%
1-1
15%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score