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Gent vs IFK Göteborg 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Gent vs IFK Göteborg stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Gent had more than twice the shots on target
Gent
IFK Göteborg
4
Shots on target
2
7
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
2
Gent vs IFK Göteborg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Gent to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Gent ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Gent 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Gent 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
IFK Göteborg 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Gent vs IFK Göteborg 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gent vs IFK Göteborg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Gent1
IFK Göteborg1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Gent1IFK Göteborg1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 53% | 47% |
 | 33% | 67% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
19%
X-1
15%
X-X
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score