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Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabağ 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabağ stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Dynamo Kyiv had clearly more shots on target
Dynamo Kyiv
Qarabağ
3
Shots on target
2
4
Corners
11
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabağ — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Dynamo Kyiv to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Dynamo Kyiv 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Qarabağ 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabağ 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabağ. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Dynamo Kyiv1
Qarabağ0Winner
1X 63%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Dynamo Kyiv1Qarabağ0Winner
1X 63%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26% | 74% | 55% | 45% |
 | 29% | 71% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
22%
X-1
14%
X-X
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
2-0
5.4%
0-2
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score