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Rapid Vienna vs Hearts 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

Rapid Vienna vs Hearts stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Rapid Vienna created clearly more chances

Rapid Vienna

Hearts

2.9

Chances (xG)

1.5

6

Shots on target

7

4

Big chances

2

13

Corners

6

3

Yellow cards

4

0

Red cards

1

68%

Possession

32%

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →
The match between Rapid Vienna and Hearts ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Rapid Vienna win at 55% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Trabzonspor – Hearts prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Rapid Vienna vs Hearts — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rapid Vienna to win

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Rapid Vienna ahead at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Rapid Vienna Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rapid Vienna 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Hearts Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hearts 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Rapid Vienna vs Hearts 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rapid Vienna vs Hearts. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Europa Conference League - Europe
Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna2
HeartsHearts2

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

155%
X22%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%75%25%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Rapid Vienna17%83%43%57%
Hearts40%60%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Rapid Vienna69%31%86%15%
Hearts89%11%97%3%

1st Half

137%
X40%
223%

1st Score

162%
X5%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

18%

X-X

13%

2-2

12%

X-2

8%

2-1

5%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

10.2%

1-1

9.8%

1-0

7.8%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

6.1%

2-2

5.9%

3-1

5.7%

3-0

5.2%

0-1

4.9%

0-0

4.6%

3-2

3.6%

0-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Trabzonspor – Hearts prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

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