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  4. Hradec Králové vs Panathinaikos

Hradec Králové vs Panathinaikos 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

Hradec Králové vs Panathinaikos stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Even on chances

Hradec Králové

Panathinaikos

2.3

Chances (xG)

2.3

8

Shots on target

5

4

Big chances

4

12

Corners

8

4

Yellow cards

5

60%

Possession

40%

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →
The match between Hradec Králové and Panathinaikos ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Panathinaikos win with 50% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kairat – Panathinaikos prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Hradec Králové vs Panathinaikos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Panathinaikos to win

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Hradec Králové Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hradec Králové 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Panathinaikos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Panathinaikos 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hradec Králové vs Panathinaikos 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hradec Králové vs Panathinaikos. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Europa Conference League - Europe
Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1
PanathinaikosPanathinaikos2

Winner

2 50%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

125%
X24%
250%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hradec Králové39%61%73%27%
Panathinaikos22%78%53%47%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hradec Králové91%9%97%3%
Panathinaikos78%22%91%9%

1st Half

119%
X43%
238%

1st Score

132%
X7%
261%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

32%

X-2

18%

X-X

15%

1-1

12%

X-1

10%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

0-1

10.6%

1-2

9.6%

0-2

8.7%

1-0

7.2%

0-0

6.8%

2-1

6.4%

1-3

5.0%

2-2

5.0%

0-3

4.7%

2-0

4.0%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kairat – Panathinaikos prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

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