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Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Midtjylland 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)
Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1
MidtjyllandOn these chances Egnatia Rrogozhinë would usually take 1.2 points and Midtjylland 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Midtjylland.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Midtjylland stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Midtjylland
5
Shots on target
5
2
Big chances
4
2
Corners
6
1
Yellow cards
0
54%
Possession
46%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Midtjylland — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Midtjylland to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Midtjylland ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,263 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Midtjylland 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Midtjylland 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 648 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Midtjylland 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Midtjylland. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë1
Midtjylland1Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë1Midtjylland1Winner
X2 74%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% |
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
30%
X-X
17%
X-2
16%
1-1
14%
X-1
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Midtjylland — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
MidtjyllandEgnatia RrogozhinëBoth Teams to Score
MidtjyllandEgnatia RrogozhinëOver/Under 2.5 Goals
MidtjyllandEgnatia RrogozhinëOver/Under 3.5 Goals
MidtjyllandEgnatia RrogozhinëFirst Half Result
MidtjyllandEgnatia RrogozhinëCorrect Score
MidtjyllandEgnatia Rrogozhinë