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Gent vs AGF 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)
Gent1–0
AGFOn these chances Gent would usually take 2.6 points and AGF 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Gent.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Gent vs AGF stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Gent had more than twice the shots on target
Gent
AGF
4
Shots on target
1
5
Big chances
0
11
Corners
2
2
Yellow cards
2
51%
Possession
49%
Gent vs AGF — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Gent to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Gent ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,203 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Gent 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Gent 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,020 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
AGF 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Gent vs AGF 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gent vs AGF. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Gent1
AGF0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Gent1AGF0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| 40% | 60% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
22%
X-X
14%
X-1
13%
X-2
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Gent vs AGF — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AGFGentBoth Teams to Score
AGFGentOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AGFGentOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AGFGentFirst Half Result
AGFGentCorrect Score
AGFGent