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Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)

Fair result

Universitatea Craiova

1–1

Getafe

1.3Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Universitatea Craiova would usually take 1.4 points and Getafe 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Universitatea Craiova.

Universitatea Craiova −0.4 pts vs chancesGetafe −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Universitatea Craiova

Getafe

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

43%

Possession

58%

The match between Universitatea Craiova and Getafe ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Universitatea Craiova win at 69% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Universitatea Craiova to win

Wrong

Our model 69%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.3% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,474 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,839 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 4,538 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Universitatea Craiova ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Universitatea Craiova Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Universitatea Craiova 0–1 goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 1,019 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Getafe Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Getafe 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 89%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.3% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Europa Conference League - Europe

Universitatea Craiova1

Getafe1

Winner

1 69%

BTTS*

No 62%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT

Europa Conference League - Europe

Universitatea Craiova1

Getafe1

Winner

1 69%

BTTS*

No 62%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

169%

X20%

211%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%	60%	40%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	60%	40%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	40%	60%	65%	35%	82%	18%
	61%	39%	89%	11%	97%	3%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	40%	60%
	61%	39%	89%	11%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	65%	35%	82%	18%
	97%	3%	99%	1%

1st Half

153%

X38%

29%

1st Score

174%

X7%

219%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

52%

X-1

20%

X-X

11%

2-2

1-X

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

13.4%

2-0

13.3%

3-0

9.7%

1-1

8.9%

2-1

7.8%

0-0

7.4%

3-1

5.9%

0-1

4.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Getafe

2/4

Universitatea Craiova

1/2

Both Teams to Score

Getafe

1/4

Universitatea Craiova

1/2

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Getafe

1/4

Universitatea Craiova

0/2

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Getafe

2/4

Universitatea Craiova

1/2

First Half Result

Getafe

2/4

Universitatea Craiova

0/2

Correct Score

Getafe

0/4

Universitatea Craiova

0/2

correct predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).