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FC København vs Sporting Braga

FC Copenhagen vs Sporting Braga 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)

Fair result

FC Copenhagen

3–0

Sporting Braga

1.3Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances FC Copenhagen would usually take 2.0 points and Sporting Braga 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Copenhagen.

FC Copenhagen +1.0 pts vs chancesSporting Braga −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

FC Copenhagen vs Sporting Braga stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

FC Copenhagen had more than twice the shots on target

FC Copenhagen

Sporting Braga

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

36%

Possession

64%

The match between FC Copenhagen and Sporting Braga ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a FC Copenhagen win with 50% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: AGF – Sporting Braga prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).

FC Copenhagen vs Sporting Braga — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Copenhagen to win

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,493 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,839 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 4,538 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Copenhagen ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 1,195 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.

FC Copenhagen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Copenhagen 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Sporting Braga Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting Braga 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,359 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

FC Copenhagen vs Sporting Braga 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Copenhagen vs Sporting Braga. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Europa Conference League - Europe

FC Copenhagen3

Sporting Braga0

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT

Europa Conference League - Europe

FC Copenhagen3

Sporting Braga0

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

150%

X25%

225%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	48%	52%	60%	40%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	48%	52%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	60%	40%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	22%	78%	52%	48%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	39%	61%	72%	28%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	52%	48%
	39%	61%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

139%

X38%

223%

1st Score

156%

X7%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

16%

X-X

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

8.6%

0-0

6.8%

0-1

6.6%

1-2

6.0%

2-2

5.3%

3-0

5.0%

3-1

5.0%

0-2

4.1%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

FC Copenhagen vs Sporting Braga — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sporting Braga

3/5

FC Copenhagen

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Sporting Braga

1/5

FC Copenhagen

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sporting Braga

2/5

FC Copenhagen

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sporting Braga

5/5

FC Copenhagen

2/5

First Half Result

Sporting Braga

2/5

FC Copenhagen

3/5

Correct Score

Sporting Braga

0/5

FC Copenhagen

0/5

correct predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: AGF – Sporting Braga prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).