Atalanta vs Pafos FC Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)
Atalanta vs Paphos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Atalanta to win
Our track record
In 2,229 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 2,959 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,084 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Atalanta 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Paphos 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,344 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.6% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Atalanta vs Paphos — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Atalanta vs Paphos. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Atalanta–
Paphos–Winner
1 55%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Atalanta–Paphos–Winner
1 55%
BTTS**
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
 | 47% | 53% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-1
17%
X-X
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Atalanta vs Paphos — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AtalantaPaphosBoth Teams to Score
AtalantaPaphosOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AtalantaPaphosOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AtalantaPaphosFirst Half Result
AtalantaPaphosCorrect Score
AtalantaPaphos