Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 3)

Shot-shy

Sturm Graz failed to score in 4 of their last 7 (league 28%).

4/7Failed to score · Sturm Graz
The match Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille will be played on Thursday, October 22 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 3League Stage - Group Stage stage of the Europa League. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Sturm GrazSturm Graz–
Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille–

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

142%
X23%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sturm Graz26%74%55%45%
Olympique Marseille31%69%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sturm Graz78%22%91%9%
Olympique Marseille82%18%93%7%

1st Half

131%
X38%
231%

1st Score

150%
X5%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

23%

X-X

13%

X-1

12%

X-2

11%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.0%

2-1

8.7%

1-0

7.6%

1-2

7.5%

0-1

6.9%

2-0

6.0%

2-2

5.9%

0-0

5.2%

0-2

5.0%

3-1

4.7%

1-3

3.8%

3-0

3.5%

3-2

3.2%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille: the stats that stand out

Europa League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Sturm Graz: shot-shy and slow starters

Shot-shy
Sturm Graz4/7

Sturm Graz failed to score in 4 of their last 7 (league 28%).

Slow starters
Sturm Graz2/7

Sturm Graz scored first in only 2 of their last 7 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Europa League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Europa League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Sturm Graz games less often than the Europa League average (49%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Sturm Graz3 of 7
BTTSleague 49%
Sturm Graz2 of 7

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 171 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Sturm Graz vs Olympique Marseille corners, cards and goal times

Europa League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSturm Graz: last 7 with these statsPro · free for now

Goal times close to the Europa League average

Sturm Graz

Olympique Marseille

3.0

Corners won · league 4.6

–

5.4

Corners conceded · league 4.6

–

2.1

Cards · league 2.1

–

1.7

Opponents' cards · league 2.1

–

67%

Goals before half-time · league 50%

–

33%

Goals after 75' · league 19%

–

25%

Conceded before half-time · league 50%

–

13%

Conceded after 75' · league 19%

–

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
1/1
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
0/1

Both Teams to Score

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
1/1
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
0/1

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
1/1
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
0/1

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
0/1
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1/1

First Half Result

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
0/1
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1/1

Correct Score

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
0/1
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
0/1
correct predictionwrong prediction

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