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Celtic vs Beşiktaş

Celtic vs Beşiktaş Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

Clinical

Celtic are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring

+4goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 10

80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Celtic 33% to win

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Celtic vs Beşiktaş: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celtic to win

Our model 42%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,070 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Celtic vs Beşiktaş. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Europa League - Europe

Celtic–

Beşiktaş–

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Europa League - Europe

Celtic–

Beşiktaş–

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

142%

X22%

236%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	14%	86%	33%	67%	45%	55%	71%	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	14%	86%	33%	67%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	45%	55%	71%	29%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	50%	50%	75%	25%	89%	11%
	28%	72%	55%	45%	78%	22%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	50%	50%
	28%	72%	55%	45%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	75%	25%	89%	11%
	78%	22%	91%	9%

1st Half

139%

X35%

225%

1st Score

158%

X3%

239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

2-2

18%

X-1

16%

X-X

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.0%

2-1

8.4%

1-2

7.8%

2-2

6.9%

1-0

5.8%

2-0

5.3%

0-1

5.3%

3-1

5.0%

3-2

4.3%

1-3

4.2%

0-2

4.1%

2-3

3.9%

0-0

3.2%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: the stats that stand out

Europa League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Celtic: leaky and always on the scoresheet

Leaky

1/10

Celtic kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).

Always on the scoresheet

1/10

Celtic failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Europa League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Europa League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Celtic games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Europa League average (57%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 57%

Celtic9 of 10

BTTSleague 50%

Celtic8 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Celtic vs Beşiktaş form and luck check

Europa League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Europa League games

Celtic: results in line with their chances

CelticBookmakers: 33% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals
+1.5

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Celtic vs Beşiktaş corners, cards and goal times

Europa League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Celtic score early

Celtic

Beşiktaş

5.1

Corners won · league 4.6

–

6.7

Corners conceded · league 4.6

–

1.6

Cards · league 2.0

–

1.4

Opponents' cards · league 2.0

–

67%

Goals before half-time · league 48%

–

13%

Goals after 75' · league 21%

–

63%

Conceded before half-time · league 48%

–

Conceded after 75' · league 21%

–

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Beşiktaş

3/5

Celtic

1/3

Both Teams to Score

Beşiktaş

5/5

Celtic

2/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Beşiktaş

5/5

Celtic

3/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Beşiktaş

2/5

Celtic

1/3

First Half Result

Beşiktaş

3/5

Celtic

1/3

Correct Score

Beşiktaş

0/5

Celtic

0/3

correct predictionwrong prediction