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Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

The match between Derry City and CSKA Sofia ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Derry City win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia — Europa League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · 1st Qualifying Round

Full-Time Result →

CSKA Sofia

50%(1/2)

+3.3% Above implied probability

Derry City

50%(1/2)

+3.3% Above implied probability

┊ 48.4% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

CSKA Sofia

50%(1/2)

-8.6% Near implied probability

Derry City

50%(1/2)

-8.6% Near implied probability

┊ 54.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

CSKA Sofia

50%(1/2)

-8.3% Near implied probability

Derry City

50%(1/2)

-8.3% Near implied probability

┊ 54.5% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

CSKA Sofia

50%(1/2)

-17.5% Below implied probability

Derry City

50%(1/2)

-17.5% Below implied probability

┊ 60.6% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

CSKA Sofia

50%(1/2)

+26.9% Strongly above implied probability

Derry City

50%(1/2)

+26.9% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 39.4% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

CSKA Sofia

0%(0/2)

Derry City

0%(0/2)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Derry City and CSKA Sofia across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for CSKA Sofia hit at 50% accuracy — that's 26.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 39.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for CSKA Sofia sit 17.5% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Derry City vs CSKA Sofia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Derry City1

CSKA Sofia2

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS**

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Derry City1

CSKA Sofia2

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS**

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

148%

X24%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%	61%	39%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	54%	46%	79%	21%	92%	8%
	38%	62%	71%	29%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	54%	46%
	38%	62%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	92%	8%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

132%

X44%

224%

1st Score

153%

X7%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

18%

X-1

17%

X-X

16%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-0

10.2%

2-1

9.4%

2-0

8.3%

0-1

7.2%

0-0

6.9%

1-2

6.8%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

4.9%

3-0

4.5%

Correct Streak

CSKA Sofia

0 in a row

Derry City

0 in a row