Derry City vs CSKA Sofia 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

The match between Derry City and CSKA Sofia ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Derry City win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: CSKA Sofia – Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction & betting tips (Aug 13, 2026).

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia — Europa League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · 1st Qualifying Round

Full-Time Result

45.9% implied

CSKA Sofia20%1/5-56.4%Below implied probability
Derry City50%1/2+8.9%Above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.6% implied

CSKA Sofia20%1/5-63.4%Below implied probability
Derry City50%1/2-8.4%Near implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.5% implied

CSKA Sofia40%2/5-26.6%Below implied probability
Derry City50%1/2-8.3%Near implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.6% implied

CSKA Sofia80%4/5+32%Strongly above implied probability
Derry City50%1/2-17.5%Below implied probability

First Half Result

38.8% implied

CSKA Sofia60%3/5+54.6%Strongly above implied probability
Derry City50%1/2+28.9%Strongly above implied probability
CSKA Sofia0%0/5
Derry City0%0/2

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Derry City and CSKA Sofia across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for CSKA Sofia hit at 60% accuracy — that's 54.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.8%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for CSKA Sofia sit 63.4% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Derry City vs CSKA Sofia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Derry CityDerry City1
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia2

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS**

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

148%
X24%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Derry City23%77%54%46%
CSKA Sofia38%62%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Derry City79%21%92%8%
CSKA Sofia90%10%97%3%

1st Half

132%
X44%
224%

1st Score

153%
X7%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

18%

X-1

17%

X-X

16%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-0

10.2%

2-1

9.4%

2-0

8.3%

0-1

7.2%

0-0

6.9%

1-2

6.8%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

4.9%

3-0

4.5%

0-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia — Prediction Form & Streaks

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading CSKA Sofia well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
0 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
0 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
1 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
4 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
1 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
0 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
1 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
0 in a row
Derry CityDerry City
0 in a row
correct predictionincorrect

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