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Aluminij vs Sheriff 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Aluminij vs Sheriff stats: how the match was played
Europa League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Aluminij
Sheriff
13
Corners
2
3
Yellow cards
1
Aluminij vs Sheriff — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Sheriff to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Sheriff ahead at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Aluminij 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Sheriff 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Aluminij vs Sheriff 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Aluminij vs Sheriff. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Aluminij0
Sheriff1Winner
2 54%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
0-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Aluminij0Sheriff1Winner
2 54%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
0-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 44% | 56% | 74% | 26% |
 | 23% | 77% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
45%
X-2
20%
X-X
13%
1-1
7%
X-1
6%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
10.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score