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Ferencváros vs FC Twente 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 2nd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Ferencváros2–2
FC TwenteOn these chances Ferencváros would usually take 1.2 points and FC Twente 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Twente.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Ferencváros vs FC Twente stats: how the match was played
Europa League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Ferencváros
FC Twente
3
Shots on target
4
2
Big chances
2
2
Corners
8
1
Yellow cards
3
1
Red cards
0
34%
Possession
66%
Ferencváros vs FC Twente — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Ferencváros to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: FC Twente to win.
Our track record
In 376 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,953 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Ferencváros ahead at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,215 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Ferencváros 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
FC Twente 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: FC Twente 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 135 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 65–70%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Ferencváros vs FC Twente 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ferencváros vs FC Twente. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Ferencváros2
FC Twente2Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Ferencváros2FC Twente2Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 54% | 46% |
| 36% | 64% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
17%
2-2
14%
X-X
12%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score