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Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë stats: how the match was played

Europa League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Shamrock Rovers had more than twice the shots on target

Shamrock Rovers

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Shots on target

Corners

Yellow cards

The match between Shamrock Rovers and Egnatia Rrogozhinë ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Shamrock Rovers win with 57% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shamrock Rovers to win

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 74%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shamrock Rovers ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 46%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Shamrock Rovers Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shamrock Rovers 2+ goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Shamrock Rovers 0–1 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 80%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Shamrock Rovers3

Egnatia Rrogozhinë1

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Shamrock Rovers3

Egnatia Rrogozhinë1

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

157%

X24%

219%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%	64%	36%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	64%	36%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	19%	81%	49%	51%	75%	25%	90%	10%
	47%	53%	80%	20%	95%	5%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	19%	81%	49%	51%
	47%	53%	80%	20%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	75%	25%	90%	10%
	95%	5%	99%	1%

1st Half

146%

X41%

214%

1st Score

170%

X8%

222%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

39%

X-1

22%

X-X

13%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

12.3%

1-1

11.2%

2-0

10.8%

2-1

9.9%

0-0

7.7%

3-0

6.5%

0-1

6.3%

3-1

5.1%

1-2

5.0%

2-2

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score